Sher et al 2018

Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys · 2018 · United States · Proton

Not cost-effectiveReporting quality 80/100 · high qualityPMID 29976499 ↗

This cost-utility study modelled proton beam therapy against intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) for stage III to IVB oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma in the United States, using a Markov cohort model with two hypothetical cohorts of 65-year-old patients, one HPV-positive and one HPV-negative, each simulated 50,000 times over a lifetime horizon. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios were reported from both payer and societal perspectives. The study concluded that proton therapy was not cost-effective at the stated willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100,000 per QALY. The assumed costs were US$27,192 for proton therapy and US$56,659 for the comparator.

What it compared

Proton beam therapy compared with intensity modulated radiation therapy in hypothetical cohorts of 65-year-old patients with stage III to IVB HPV-positive or HPV-negative oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma.

What it found

The incremental cost per QALY was US$288,000 for HPV-positive disease from the payer perspective, US$390,000 for HPV-positive disease from the societal perspective, US$516,000 for HPV-negative disease from the payer perspective and US$695,000 for HPV-negative disease from the societal perspective, all judged against a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100,000 per QALY.

What to keep in mind

The price year for the costs is not stated, the discount rate is not reported in the paper, and the results rest on a modelled cohort with assumed costs (US$27,192 for proton therapy and US$56,659 for IMRT) rather than observed trial data, so the figures should be read with those assumptions in mind.

The figures it reported

  • US$288,000 per QALY
    HPV-positive OPC, payer perspective
  • US$390,000 per QALY
    HPV-positive OPC, societal perspective
  • US$516,000 per QALY
    HPV-negative OPC, payer perspective
  • US$695,000 per QALY
    HPV-negative OPC, societal perspective

Figures are shown exactly as the paper gives them, in its own currency and price year. We do not convert between currencies: see the glossary for why.

Patients modelled or enrolled
Two hypothetical cohorts of 65-year-old patients (HPV-positive and HPV-negative), simulated 50,000 times
Comparator
IMRT (intensity modulated radiation therapy)
Indication
Stage III-IVB oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (HPV-positive and HPV-negative)
Study design
Cost-utility analysis using a Markov cohort model (hypothetical cohorts simulated 50,000 times)
Time horizon
Lifetime
Delivery technique
IMPT
Perspective
Payer and societal

Whose costs were counted: a payer, a hospital, or society as a whole.

Currency
US$
Price year
not reported by this study

The year the costs are expressed in. Without it, a figure cannot be compared across time.

Willingness-to-pay threshold
US$100,000/QALY
Discount rate
not reported by this study
Cost of the particle course assumed
US$27,192
Cost of the comparator assumed
US$56,659

Reporting quality

80 out of 100 on the Quality of Health Economic Studies instrument, a 16-item checklist covering the objective, the perspective, the sources of each estimate, the handling of uncertainty, the horizon and discounting, how costs were measured, the model's transparency, the discussion of bias, and whether funding was disclosed. It measures how well the study was reported, not whether its conclusion is correct: a well-reported study can still reach a conclusion a later trial overturns.

Every value on this page is what the paper states. Fields reading “not reported by this study” were checked and are genuinely absent from it. The summary above was drafted with AI assistance from this study's own record and abstract, and every figure in it was checked against that source.